Selections for $100,000 Barretts Debutante

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By Frank R. Scatoni, editor of The HorsePlayer Magazine.

THE RACE $100,000 Barretts Debutante Fairplex Race 10 (Saturday, September 15, 2012: post time: 7:45 p.m./ET; 4:45 p.m./PT) 6.5-furlongs on the main track (2-year-old fillies offered for sale in any Barretts Sale) I’ve always liked the Barretts juvenile races at Fairplex because they are “sales” races in which only horses that were offered for purchase at a Barretts sale are eligible. In the $100,000 Barretts Debutante, ten fillies (and one Also Eligible) fit the condition for this 6.5-furlong race—and at Fairplex, that actually means that a lot of these runners will be going two turns for the first time. #1 AWE GOLLY MOLLY has yet to finish in the money in three stakes tries. She’s a deep closer that is stuck down at the rail, so not only will she need a pace set-up, but she’ll also have to negotiate plenty of traffic to get up in time. #2 AKISS FORAROSE is another deep closer that has failed to hit the board in her stakes ventures. She’ll be running late, but will it be good enough? #3 LOVELY DAUGHTER is by hot sire Big Brown, and she’s coming off a very professional 5-furlong win up at Golden Gate. I don’t like the fact that win jock Russell Baze doesn’t bother to make the trip, but Fairplex veteran David Flores takes the mount, and a step forward isn’t out of the question. #4 ECONOMY OF MOTION destroyed state-bred maiden claimers at Del Mar when winning by 6-1/2 lengths after a tried-and-true turf-to-synth move. Granted, that performance was flattered by an extreme speed bias that day, but she is one of only two runners in here with sharp early speed, so she’ll be in the thick of things from the get-go. Is she good enough to hang around late? Hmmm… #5 QIAONA is still a maiden, and she was just handled very easily by ECONOMY OF MOTION. She was up against it from a bias standpoint last time, but even still, she’s yet to run a winning race, and now she has to face tougher company. #6 BOJOUR is also still a maiden, and her late-running fourth-place finish against open $40K maiden sellers came with a perfect pace set-up. She’ll need a big step forward today. #7 PURE INDY was so impressive in her maiden breaker at Del Mar that I’m actually shocked she shows up here in a non-graded stakes event. I thought for sure she would be pointing toward the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1) after destroying straight maidens despite a brutal trip. Her jock, Victor Espinoza, does her absolutely no favors (his Del Mar performance this year was mediocre at best), but she’s by far the most talented runner in the race. #8 MISS DEREK is still a maiden, but she was running against open company at Del Mar, so she gets some class relief today. She was stuck down inside during both of her races, and now she finally gets to sit outside of horses. I don’t think we’ve seen the best of her yet, and she’s intriguing at what should be a decent price. #9 ANOTHER FLASHBACK just missed in her debut race when running third against state-bred maidens at Del Mar. She should improve in her second career start, but I’ve been very unimpressed with the way jock Kevin Krigger has ridden so far at Fairplex (he’s 0-for-22 as of this writing, and just last Friday, he severely misjudged the finish line), so I’m willing to let this runner beat me. #10 BARES TRIPPER blew away $80K maiden sellers at Del Mar in her debut, setting a new track record in the process. She followed that up with a pop-and-stop effort in the Sorrento (G3), but that was against the very talented Executiveprivilege. She’s got great early speed, and she’ll have to use every ounce of it because of her brutal outside post. Still, she’s a major contender. #11 WASTED AT MIDNIGHT is on the Also Eligible list, and she’s a deep closer, so if she gets in, the post won’t hurt her too much. She’s still a maiden, but I was impressed with her debut race, where she closed nicely to finish third despite a poor trip. She was thrown to the wolves last time in the Del Mar Debutante (G1), so who knows how she’ll bounce back after that last-place finish. SELECTIONS 1. #7 PURE INDY – Good enough to win a graded-stakes race. 2. #3 LOVELY DAUGHTER – Veteran Fairplex rider Flores sees fit to take the mount. 3. #10 BARES TRIPPER – Would like her much better if she were drawn inside. LONG SHOT VALUE PLAY: #8 MISS DEREK – Still a maiden, but she has hinted at ability. WAGERING STRATEGY #7 PURE INDY looks awfully tough in here. Let’s key her on top of exactas with our other three choices of #3 LOVELY DAUGHTER, #8 MISS DEREK, #10 BARES TRIPPER ($25 exacta: 7 with 3,8,10). Let’s also key her on top of a trifecta ($1 trifecta: 7 with ALL with 3,8,10). BANKROLL PLAY $50 win #7 PURE INDY (Bankroll at +$715.00 after Week Forty-Six Based on $50 Wagers)

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