TVG Analyst: Candice Hare
The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf is the one turf race of the meeting which bucks the usual trend of overseas visitors having the bulk of the success. In fact, a European-based horse has not won this race since Chriselliam in 2013 and in the race’s 11 year history only two Europeans have taken the top prize.
In recent years, Chad Brown has dominated, as he has won the past three editions of the contest and four of the past five runnings. This year he will be represented by #13 SELFLESSLY, who like last year’s winner Newspaperofrecord is owned by Klaravich Stables. The daughter of More Than Ready flashed home late to finish second on debut, but it was her most recent performance which caught the eye, as she took the G2 Miss Grillo Stakes, defeating the well-regarded Crystalle in the process.
While Chad Brown always warrants respect in American turf
races, this year’s race looks to have a deep international contingent and I’ll
instead head in that direction.
#3 SHADN appeals as a price play on several levels. For starters, the daughter of No Nay Never has slowly progressed as the season has gone on. Her speed ratings have improved in every race of her career and she clearly shows up for this contest with still further improvement in her. She’s also raced over seven furlongs over the tricky Goodwood track, which suggests she should have no issue tackling a mile over the flat Santa Anita turf course. She’s been effective over all types of ground, but most importantly she figures to improve over further given her pedigree. While she has speed thanks to her sire No Nay Never, she is out of former Aidan O’Brien-trainee Amethyst – a Sadler’s Wells mare who was most effective over a mile. Interestingly enough, Shadn was purchased privately by top Japanese owner Katsumi Yoshida just days before the Breeders’ Cup. It was a move which harkened to last year when Yoshida purchased The Mackem Bullet and pointed her to this very race – one in which she put forward a good account of herself at a massive price.
#5 DAAHYEH is sure to take money, but her form looks more exposed and to be honest, her most recent performances indicated to me that she may be losing her precocity edge over her fellow Europeans. Preference among the remaining visitors instead goes to the Aidan O’Brien-trained #14 ETOILE, who is lightly raced but loaded with talent. The daughter of War Front is out of French Oaks runner-up Gagnoa and her debut effort was sensational. Something clearly went amiss because she was away from 132 days thereafter. She was subsequently put in a G1 that she found to be far too difficult off the long break, but O’Brien’s horses nearly always improve massively for a run off a long layoff, so it would be foolish to pass on her at likely double figure odds.
Of interest among the American contenders for mine is #11 SHARING, who is trained by Graham Motion. Sharing is regally bred by a Breeders’ Cup winner in Speightstown and out of Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf winner Shared Account. A winner of two of her three starts to date, she enters this trending in the right direction having dominated the Selima Stakes at Laurel Park in her most recent outing.
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