TVG Analyst: Todd Schrupp
Throughout the course of the Year, the European and North American racing seasons mirrored each other when it came to Turf Milers. No horse emerged in this Division on either side of the Atlantic to assert their superiority. Consistently the Breeders’ Cup is a reflection of the year that has been, and the wide-open nature of milers on the Turf this year is reflected in the 2019 TVG Breeders’ Cup Mile.
Finding trends related to the Breeders’ Cup is a risky proposition because the event rotates to different tracks. However, with Santa Anita Hosting the Breeders’ Cup for a record 10th time, there is an interesting trend; no locally based horse has won the TVG Breeders’ Cup Mile in nine previous runnings at Santa Anita. If that trend holds, it means you can eliminate three horses from contention this year: #5 True Valour, #7 Bolo and #14 Bowies Hero.
Here are my Top 3 Selections in order of preference:
#2 LUCULLAN - The projected early pace appears to be soft, being tactical could be very important. With Luis Saez aboard and the Post Draw for Lucullan I think he’ll be close to the pace, combined with the way he finished his final 1/8th of a mile in the Knickerbocker Handicap last out, that combination could be potent.
#11 UNI - If I could be convinced of a solid early pace in here, I would make her my Top Pick. Her most recent start was a spectacular win in the First Lady at Keeneland where she set a new Course Record.
#12 LORD GLITTERS - He has one win this year, but it was the Queen Anne at Royal Ascot and that’s as good as any singular win by any of the European shippers. Additionally let’s not overlook his 3rd place finish to the remarkable Almond Eye earlier in the year.
Money Back Special Pick - #12 LORD GLITTERS
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