By Tom Quigley
$300,000 Starlet (G1) at Los Alamitos
Race 7 (Saturday, December 7, 2019: 6:28 p.m./ET; 3:28 p.m./PT)
Mile and a sixteenth on the main track (two-year-old fillies)
One filly (#2, BAST) in the Starlet (G1) field already has a Grade 1 win on her resume. Will she add another one today or will the filly (#3, DONNA VELOCE) who shares the same sire as her (UNCLE MO) play spoiler? Let’s get to our analysis:
#1 ROADRUNNER’S HONOR goes long for the first time after a six-length loss in the Desi Arnaz Stakes on November 10. Her only other career afternoon appearance resulted in a maiden special weight victory sprinting at Santa Anita.
#2 BAST was up close to a fast pace in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1) before tiring late. That said, she was able to round out the trifecta and ran a better than looked third, all things considered. Drayden Van Dyke is back aboard and he rode this filly when she scored an eight-length victory in the Del Mar Debutante (G1).
#3 DONNA VELOCE ran a fantastic race when finishing a neck behind winner BRITISH IDIOM in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1). With that two-turn race on display, she could improve even further now that she has that route experience and conditioning under her belt. The one to beat.
#4 GINGHAM enters off a two-turn maiden win at Santa Anita and picks up the services of jockey Abel Cedillo. In her other three career races, she finished second, all while traveling a route of ground. With a win under her belt, it’s possible the light bulb might have gone on, but all signs indicate she will need to take another step forward.
#5 K P DREAMIN was no match for #2 BAST in the Chandelier (G1) two starts ago and returned to finish 27 lengths behind BRITISH IDIOM in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1). Her last start was too poor to ignore.
1. #3 DONNA VELOCE - Could be the real deal.
2. #2 BAST – Trainer has won this race the last two years.
3. #5 K P DREAMIN – Half-sister to Go Between, 2008 Pacific Classic (G1) winner.
LONGSHOT VALUE PLAY-#4 GINGHAM - Fifth different jock in as many starts.
I’ll play a straight exacta on my top two picks.
BANKROLL PLAY ($50 Budget)
$50 Exacta: #3 DONNA VELOCE over #2 BAST
Bet the Starlet at TVG.com!
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