$100k CTBA

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By Tom Quigley

$100,000 CTBA at Del Mar

Race 8 (Saturday, August 1, 2020: 8:30 p.m./ET; 5:30 p.m./PT)
Five and one-half furlongs on the main track (California-bred two-year-old fillies)

Seven California-bred or California-sired two-year-old fillies’ race for the $60,000 winners share of the co-feature race on Saturday at Del Mar, the CTBA Stakes, reinforcing the notion that it pays to be Cal-bred! Here’s how I see it:

#1 BIG ANDY hit the wire first in her career debut but was disqualified for interference in the stretch. Most recently, the daughter of MR. BIG lost by a half-length to #4 RIGHTEOUSLY in a maiden affair over this track opening weekend. In both aforementioned races she broke slowly from the gate and will need to get away from the blocks better, especially against tougher company while breaking from the rail post position. Flavian Prat hops aboard for the first time, which can be only be seen as a positive.

#2 GOVERNOR GOTEVEN went off at 18/1 in her first and only start to date, where she stalked the pace before grinding away down the lane to win a maiden special weight event at Santa Anita by a neck. With a start under her belt and some time to freshen up between races, she might be able to improve.

#3 REIGN OF FIRE has never hit the wire first in a race. After a poor effort in her career debut (against the boys) on May 25, she returned one month later to finish second, beaten a half-length, by unofficial winner #1 BIG ANDY. However, that foe was disqualified for interference in the stretch, so she was promoted to first.

#4 RIGHTEOUSLY was nowhere to be seen in her career debut but took a major leap forward in lifetime start #2, defeating #1 BIG ANDY at big odds (20/1). Her last start came over this track, indicating she likes this surface, and if she can improve once more in her third lifetime start, you may be looking at a repeat surprise package.

#5 JASMINE CHIEFTAIN is yet another filly who improved in her second lifetime race after losing on debut. Most recently, this Northern California invader defeated a group of $32K maiden claimers at Pleasanton for high percentage trainer Isidro Tamayo. Jockey Juan Hernandez teams up with Tamayo and when they work together, they strike at a sensational 37%-win rate.

#6 LOVE WINS was well meant first out, going off as the favorite in an open maiden special weight race on May 17 at Santa Anita. She did not disappoint, showing speed before drawing off down the lane and scoring a comfortable three-and-three-quarter length victory. Abel Cedillo rides for the first time, who won both graded stakes last Saturday with LAURA’S LIGHT in the San Clemente (G2) and MAXIMUM SECURITY in the San Diego Handicap (G2). Definite contender.

#7 I’M SO ANNA is arguably the one to beat. After blowing the break and running third at 4/5 in a maiden special weight at Golden Gate Fields, the daughter of FAST ANNA rebounded, broke much better in her second career afternoon appearance and kicked four lengths clear of her competition in a California-bred maiden special weight at Los Alamitos. She has always been well regarded for trainer Steve Sherman and is projected to stalk and pounce the pace with jockey Ricky Gonzalez, who is having a solid Del Mar meet so far (4-for-19.)

SELECTIONS

1. #6 LOVE WINS - Easy maiden winner.

2. #7 I’M SO ANNA - Hard to knock after big maiden win.

3. #1 BIG ANDY - Worthy of a second look.

LONGSHOT VALUE PLAY - #4 RIGHTEOUSLY - Only runner to have won over this track.

WAGERING STRATEGY

I’ll key my top two picks in the top two spots over the other five entrants in a trifecta.

BANKROLL PLAY ($50 Budget)

$5 Trifecta: #6 LOVE WINS and #7 I’M SO ANNA over ALL ($50).

Bet the CTBA at TVG.com!

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