Lope Y Fernandez Could Shock in Mile

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By Emily Shields

If you want to take advantage of  TVG’s money back special for the Breeders’ Cup, then you need to select a horse to place a decent win wager. One horse who will have big odds is Lope Y Fernandez, a three-year-old who seeks to become top Irish trainer Aidan O’Brien’s first winner in the Breeders’ Cup Mile (G1).

A consistent and classy son of Lope de Vega, Lope Y Fernandez picks up Frankie Dettori for the $2 million race. He gets to go two turns instead of a straight mile or a sprint, where he has been placed of late. In his only start over the trip, the bay colt finished third in the group 1 Tattersalls Irish 2000 Guineas, beaten by today’s rival Siskin. Lope Y Fernandez has been top three in seven of 11 starts, and his last two races over soft ground that he does not prefer and at a distance that may not be his best can be forgiven.

Siskin drew alongside. Unbeaten in five starts earlier in his career, including a pair of Group 1 races, he has been third and fourth in his two tries against older horses. He may prefer softer ground, and will retire to Japan after this race, but he will be rallying in the lane.

The first two stalls in the gate are taken up by Circus Maximus and Kameko. Circus Maximus was a multiple Group 1 winner last year as a sophomore when he came to the Breeders’ Cup and ran fourth in the Mile, beaten less than three lengths. He was off from November until June at Royal Ascot, where he won the Group 1 Queen Anne by a head. Since then he has been knocking on the door in some of Europe’s best races, and should appreciate the ground.

Kameko is the popular horse for trainer Andrew Balding. 6-1 on the morning line, he is likely to go off lower under jockey Oisin Murphy. He has been first or second in three of four at the eight-furlong distance, was a Group 1 winning juvenile, and ran the fastest ever QIPCO 2000 Guineas in June.

American hopefuls in the race include defending champion Uni, Saratoga Grade 1 winner Halladay, and Ivar (Brz), who is the morning line favorite after wunning the Grade 1 Shadwell Turf Mile here in October at 14-1. Like Siskin, he has won five of seven starts.

Stay tuned in to TVG for continued coverage of the 2020 Breeders’ Cup betting.

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