Belmont Stakes Betting Guide

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by TVG Staff
Last Updated: June 7, 2019, 1:27 PM EDT

The Belmont Stakes is the final leg of the coveted Triple Crown of horse racing and stands as the second-most wagered race in the States. Around $130 million is bet by players looking to be part of the Belmont Stakes party during this card each year, a sum second to only to that raised at the Kentucky Derby.


Belmont Stakes Betting Guide


What Bets Can I Place When I Bet The Belmont Stakes?

As well as the usual ‘win’, ‘place’ and ‘show’ bets we are all too familiar with, you can dabble with some slightly more exotic wagers and have a little fun with your Belmont Stakes betting. Many bettors will be trying these wagers out on June 8:

Exacta
To win an Exacta you must correctly pick the first and second horse past the wire in the right order.

Trifecta
This time you must pick the first three home, again in the correct order.

Superfecta
Similar to the above, this time the bet involves the first four horses.

Quinella
The Quinella allows you to box your Exacta; in other words you can still win as long as your two chosen horses finish first and second regardless of the order although you will pay more to place this bet. You can also choose to ‘box’ your Trifecta and Superfecta bets if you wish.

Wagering online is the best way to get involved when you bet the Belmont Stakes and millions will be doing this when the field is let go on June 8 in New York, both domestically and internationally.

Belmont Stakes Betting Trends

If you’re not a great form student or, like most of us, you don’t have direct access to any of the trainers and owners involved in The Run for the Carnations, you may want to take in some notable trends from past renewals of this great race.

Given that the distance of the Belmont, 1½ miles, is rather extreme, you should take note of running styles with those showing stamina and saving their best efforts for late in the day often favored. The track is colloquially known as ‘Big Sandy’ as it is the biggest and toughest dirt track in the States so while form is important, especially from the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes, these tips may also come in useful:

Breeding
This won’t tell us everything as not many participants will have been specifically bred to go 1½ miles, but do look out for those horses whose sires stayed at least 1¼ miles well and stay away from those bred to go a mile or less.

Remember that champion sire Tapit has been responsible for a number of Belmont Stakes winners already, including Tapwrit (2017), Creator (2016) and Tonalist (2014).

Gate Position
While just 10 horses will line up, potentially even less, the draw remains important here. Gate 1 right on the inside rail has sprung open to produce more than a third of all Belmont winners in the last 100 years so it seems being drawn as low as possible is perceived as a genuine advantage.

Long Shots
Unlike in recent Kentucky Derby’s, favorites have tended to not do so well in the Belmont in recent years. Whether this is down to tiredness when it comes to those having raced in the Triple Crown races so far or the extreme distance and tough nature of the track, we cannot afford to ignore those at double-figure odds.

Track Condition
Big Sandy is very deep and testing, so with or without rain this mile-and-a-half distance really takes some getting for these sophomores. Case in point last year’s runner-up Gronkowski who ticked a few boxes; bred to race in Europe over longer distances, drawn in gate 6 and going off a long shot. He was one of very few horses who looked certain to appreciate the track and was beaten in the end only by the brilliant Justify.

Stakes Performance
Despite the list of successful long shots in this race, it is extremely rare for a winner of the Belmont to have not run into the first three in a Stakes race before taking on this Grade One task.

Triple Crown Experience
While it’s not always the favorites who taste victory in New York, those having experience of the Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes or both tend to do well. Look out for horses having OK well in these races without hitting the board, perhaps in the top 8 but not the top 2.

Belmont Contenders Checking the Right Boxes

There’s no exact science when it comes to successfully betting the winner of the Belmont Stakes, but what can help is to list the contenders and see what trends they have managed to “check off”:

Horse Bred for 1¼ miles+ Won over 1¼ miles (or 1m as a juvenile) Currently 10/1 or bigger Run 3rd-8th in Kentucky Derby or Preakness First 3 in a stakes race Post Position 1 – 6

Bourbon

X

Everfast

X

X

X

Intrepid Heart

X

X

X

X

Master Fencer

X

X

X

Sir Winston

X

X

X

Spinoff

X

X

X

Tacitus

X

X

X

Tax

X

X

X

War Of Will

X

X

X

X


Bet the Belmont Stakes with TVG

We have coverage and picks for all the big races including this one at Belmont Park. Sign up with us today to receive your bonus – new players are eligible.

Rest assured that our team will be on hand to offer their in-depth analysis and expert picks leading up to post time in New York and remember, you can find out the odds for our picks on our dedicated Belmont Stakes odds page.

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