Betting the Breeders’ Cup in advance can be a risky business given that we have not seen all the horses in Grade One action just yet, though your payoff could be much bigger if you can get it right and now that the season is drawing on we have a better idea of what we may expect at Churchill Downs.
Despite many favorites having got to the wire in front over the years, the 2017 championships was a timely reminder that winners can be hard to find in the Breeders’ Cup with some big outsiders getting their noses in front at Del Mar.
Now that we know the final fields, odds are being formulated for the races that will define the season for these contenders and their owners and trainers.
The starting odds for all Breeders’ Cup runners at post time will be finally determined on the Pari-Mutuel system as always, with the final figure depending upon how popular each horse is with bettors around the country as well as how much money is in the pot.
In other words; if there is a lot of money in the betting pool and not so many people are betting your horse, then its odds could be enormous. At the same time though, betting a horse that becomes favorite with the gambling nation obviously means a shorter payout come post time.
On the Pari-Mutuel betting system, the odds will fluctuate a lot leading up to the race and never more so than in the few minutes before post time so be prepared not to know exactly what odds you will get on your horse until go time.
TVG will keep you close to the action and you can place your bets with us. New customers can click here to create an account and benefit from our generous sign-up offer: deposit $100 and get a $100 deposit bonus. Sign up now!
With Triple Crown hero Justify now not in contention for the Classic having had filling in his
ankle, it could be a year once again for the older horses though some other three-year-olds are still looking
Four-year-old West Coast definitely has the form in the bag having run third to Gun Runner in last year’s Classic before his second to the same horse in the Pegasus World Cup. He was once again runner-up to Thunder Snow in the Dubai World Cup and let’s not forget that he has low mileage and could still improve a little more.
His conqueror at Meydan is another key contender despite his bad experience on American soil last year, Thunder Snow’s victory being very impressive to the naked eye and it’s well known Sheikh Mohamed wants his colt to prove his flop in last year’s Kentucky Derby was a one-off in the States. He ran a good prep in the Jockey Club Gold Cup and is on target for the race.
John Sadler’s horse Accelerate was well beaten in the Dirt Mile at last year’s meet but has since improved and was a very good winner of the Gold Cup at Santa Anita back in the spring. His recent performance in winning by 12½ lengths has moved him to the top of the market and rightly so.
European horses are being prepped as always for the various turf races with superstar filly Enable topping the list for the Breeders’ Cup Turf, while the Filly and Mare Turf is the target of Charlie Appleby’s star filly Wild Illusion , the same trainer who won the race last year with Wuheida.
The juvenile divisions are always exciting and can provide clues for us on who may be contesting next year’s Triple Crown races, especially the Kentucky Derby. This year Game Winner is hot property in the Juvenile race, while in the turf equivalent the Europeans hold a strong hand with Anthony Van Dyck and Line Of Duty.
Any of these contenders could end up being favorite for their race on the big day so keep looking out for their final prep races as the big day draws closer.
As we get closer to the big day we have a better idea of what sort of odds to expect and where the contenders stand so far in the various markets. There are some top class races still to come featuring these names so odds* will fluctuate plenty before November 3. We should use these odds as a guide, or a ‘morning line’ for now.
Check out our contenders page for more information on how these horses have gotten to this position in the market and remember you can bet them all with us at TVG!
*odds correct as of October 30
This is the defining race of the whole championships and the one every trainer wants to win, not least because of the $6 million purse!
|Mind Your Biscuits||6/1||7/1|
|Toast Of New York||20/1||N/A|
As expected this field has changed so much up to the final declarations, here’s how it looks at race week:
|I Can Fly||10/1||N/A|
A decision hasn’t been made yet on whether Enable will race on as a five-year-old, so this may be one last chance to watch the star filly in action.
Disco Partner and Stormy Liberal are having a battle already, this time to see which one will be favorite on the day.
|World Of Trouble||8/1||N/A|
Imperial Hint is now red hot after drawing gate 5, but Roy H is not going away!
Marley’s Freedom is now an even stronger favourite than before and will attract thousands of bets.
|Happy Like A Fool||15/1||5/1|
Catalina Cruiser is another that just gets stronger in the market as we approach go time.
|City Of Light||7/2||12/1|
|Seeking The Soul||7/1||N/A|
It’s a shame Sea Of Class is not arriving, but Wild Illusion is a two-time Grade 1 winner this summer.
Unique Bella’s defection means Monomoy Girl is clear in the betting, but Abel Tasman and Midnight Bisou have been popular this last couple of weeks.
There’s understandably a strong overseas contingent here, though Wesley Ward’s Shang Shang Shang has experience on both sides of the pond.
|Shang Shang Shang||7/1||4/1|
Anthony Van Dyck is favorite for next year’s Epsom Derby in England and was third in their biggest juvenile race, the Dewhurst Stakes.
|Anthony Van Dyck||3/1||7/2|
|Line Of Duty||7/2||N/A|
|The Black Album||15/1||10/1|
La Pelosa is now a Grade 1 winner on American soil and her odds are maybe a little too big, even up against Newspaperofrecord.
Bellafina retains her place at the head of the betting but Restless Rider is one to look out for.
Game Winner’s trainer has issued concerns about this 1 1/8 mile distance, so there could be value in betting against him.
Remember you can bet all the Breeders’ Cup races right here with us online and our experts will be on hand to offer an in-depth analysis of the race leading up to post time in early November. New customers can click here to create an account and benefit from our generous sign-up offer: double your first deposit up to a $75 bonus, plus get Money Back if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd on all Breeders’ Cup Races Friday and Saturday. Sign up now!